Having all but called the New Hampshire Primary for Obama, The Independent is suitably contrite today (see 'Hold the front page' and indeed, the entirely appropriate front page.)

This may be a good time to check in with a site that we've respected and admired over many years at FreeThink.  electoral-vote.com is a comprehensive guide to polling in the US focusing on votes at a state level, which is after all, where the votes are counted.

Of course, like The Independent, electoral-vote.com relies on the accuracy of opinion pollsters. It was therefore as surprised at the win as anyone.

Delving into the state-by-state detail is fascinating though - and reveals the strength of Clinton's position. Many of the polls that electoral-vote.com is based on are now out of date - especially for the states that don't poll in the next fortnight.  The commanding lead Hillary seems to have across most of the Country looks pretty unassailibe - especially in the light of the New Hampstead result.  Unless the pollsters are simply getting 1st and 2nd place confused every time Obama is going to have a very tough time to get past the former first lady.