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Ask Gladstone what to do

Written by Giles Wilkes

Monday, 18 May 2009 16:50

Despite efforts by the economically untutored to see Labour's 1970's mess all over again, it is not 1976 and Dennis Healey that we will be reliving come 2010. The debt is far higher than in 1976, for starters. But then it often has been - look above. What marked 1976 was the sheer difficulty of selling the debt, when the government was running such an inflationary policy. Why buy it? No, the combination of high debt and no inflation is really quite unfamiliar to the 20th century, apart from a brief moment in the 1930s (and then we used a departure from the gold standard in 1931 to have a relatively 'good' Depression - which is resorting to inflation in another way). You have to go back to the 1860s to get the exact combination we will now face: no inflation, high debt, and despite what some of the right-wing hysterics might have you believe, a relatively credible government promise to repay. Gladstone and Disraeli, not Healey and Barber.

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